Friday, October 10, 2008

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

From Conde Nast's Portfolio.com comes a fantastic interview with Nassim Nicholas Taleb :

http://www.portfolio.com/views/columns/the-world-according-to/2008/08/14/Interview-With-Nassim-Nicholas-Taleb

Here is one excerpt:

The structure of uncertainty in the world is vastly greater than we think. So let's stop playing the narrative fallacy. Take economics, for example. How many economists figured out that when people go to the store to buy products from China, they're raising the price of oil at the pump? How many people thought of that? They raise the price at the pump just by going there.

Interesting fellow, this Mr. Taleb. His book, The Black Swan, received rave reviews, and I liked it but wouldn't necessarily recommend it over Wheelan's Naked Economics, Malkiel's A Random Walk Down Wall Street, or Greider's Secrets of the Temple.

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