Saturday, July 19, 2008

Wall Street Finally Calls a Bottom on Banking...5 days after I did

As readers know, I correctly called a short-term bottom in banking and was one of the few people to do so in the country. See July 14, 2008 post: "I am calling a bottom in well-capitalized regional bank stocks."

http://willworkforjustice.blogspot.com/2008/07/colonial-bancgroup-cnb.html

And here:

http://seekingalpha.com/article/84988-well-capitalized-regional-banks-the-bottom-is-in

Now, after most bank stocks have jumped 20 to 50 percent, Wall Street deigns to tell the masses the bottom is in:

http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/07/its-unanimous-b.html

It just goes to show you don't need specialized training to correctly pick stocks. Peter Lynch and Warren Buffett made billions picking stocks at the right time. The best skill as a stock picker isn't being able to discern a company's future cash flow prospects, but to know when to buy a stock. It took me over ten years to get some intuition on the market. Timing beats good research--as we've just seen.

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