Showing posts with label Stocks Update. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stocks Update. Show all posts

Sunday, July 13, 2008

Stocks Update

I had sold some PFE at 18.33 but still hold many shares. I sold my GE prior to the earnings report, taking the 6% loss. I added to my CNB position, which swung from an unrealized 3% gain to an unrealized 11% loss. I also received dividends, which are not factored into the calculations below. If I pick stocks well, my picks should do well even without factoring in dividends.

Thus far, it appears I am doing slightly better than the overall market, but this is bittersweet, given that the S&P 500 has lost over 10%
in less than two months. I had removed most of my money from the market two months ago, so I am not concerned--yet. "The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent," the saying goes. Thankfully, all of my open positions are in retirement accounts, so I can wait for years until the market becomes rational again.

One benefit of keeping track of my trades is I can see which styles work for me. So far, it is clear I am better off with short term trades (100% positive record) than long term ones. I place very large bets when making short term trades, and smaller bets when establishing longer term positions. Therefore, it's as if I bet 5,000 dollars on red in roulette, win quickly, but then give some of my
gains back when I overestimate my intelligence and go play poker for a few hours with a 1,000 dollar buy-in.

Open Positions

CNB = -11.5
EQ = -8.0
EWM = -8.54
IF = -11.8
PFE = -7.22

Average of "Open Positions": losing/negative average of 9.41%

Closed Positions:
Held more than seven days but less than one year:
GE = -6.4
PNK = -16.7%
PPS = -2.8

WYE = +2.4%

Held less than 7 days:
GE (1.0%); ICE (2.0%), MMM (0.5%), MRK (0.1%), PFE (1.3%), SCUR (15%) (Overall record in this category is a 3.31% average gain)

Daytrades:
PFE = +0.5%
GE = +0.5% (Updated on July 14, 2008; bought at 27.15, sold at 27.30)
XLF = +4.3% (Updated on July 15, 2008)

Average of "Closed Positions" sub-categories, except for Daytrades: losing/negative 4.59%

Combined Total Averages, excluding Daytrades: losing/negative 7.0%

Compare to S&P 500: losing/negative 10.5%
[from May 30, 2008 (1385.67) to July 13, 2008 (1239.49
)]

The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only and does not constitute investing recommendations. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of an investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence.

Tuesday, July 1, 2008

Stocks Update

The WSJ hurt all casino investors today. Pinnacle Entertainment (PNK), the casino operator I recommended earlier, fell over 6% today. The probable cause? The front page of the WSJ had an article about casinos being laden with debt and being poor investments in a recession. Smaller casinos like Boyd Gaming (BYD) as well as larger ones (MGM, LVS) plunged. While I only lost a few hundred dollars (about 300 dollars) on the PNK trade, my percentages decreased significantly. My major holdings are still in GE and PFE. I sold the 1000 shares of General Electric I bought last week and made a few hundred dollars on that trade.

Open Positions

CNB = +3.99
EQ = +0.22 (excluded; movement too limited to be relevant)
EWM = -6.82
GE = -6.64
IF = -8.83
PFE = -7.64

Average of "Open Positions": losing/negative average of 5.19%

Closed Positions:
Held more than seven days but less than one year:
PNK = -16.7%
PPS = -2.8

WYE = +2.4%

Held less than 7 days:
GE (1.0%); ICE (2.0%), MMM (0.5%), MRK (0.1%), PFE (1.3%), SCUR (15%) (Overall record in this category is a 3.31% average gain)

Daytrades:
PFE = +0.5%

Average of "Closed Positions" sub-categories, except for Daytrades: losing/negative 2.39%

Combined Total Averages, excluding Daytrades: losing/negative 3.79%

Compare to S&P 500: losing/negative 7.27%
[from May 30, 2008 (1385.67) to July 1, 2008 (
1284.91)]

The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only and does not constitute investing recommendations. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of an investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence.

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Stocks Update

The WSJ mentioned Colonial BancGroup (CNB) in an article today titled, "Small Banks Get Tempting." Author Peter Eavis said that CNB was an "intriguing prospect," but it would probably take two to three quarters (9 months) before the stock would rebound. He mentioned that the bank's charter had changed from federal to state, "allowing it to replace the Office of the Comptroller." I don't think anyone quite understands that all banks are regulated by the Office of the Comptroller if their funds are FDIC-insured. Either I'm wrong, or financial journalists aren't doing their homework.

Pinnacle Entertainment (PNK) took quite a beating today and yesterday. I only have 100 shares, and won't add anymore just yet, but I am surprised the stock is down this much. As Mr. Eavis might say, PNK looks like an "intriguing prospect" at these prices.

Open Positions
CNB = -2.51
EQ = -2.15
EWM = -3.61
GE = -6.00
IF = -8.04
PFE = -7.84
PNK = -13.72

Average of "Open Positions": losing/negative average of 6.27%

Closed Positions:
Held more than seven days but less than one year:
PPS = -2.8
WYE = +2.4%

Held less than 7 days:
ICE (+2.0%), MMM (0.5%), MRK (0.1%), PFE (1.3%), SCUR (15%) (Overall record in this category is a 3.78% average gain)

Daytrades:
PFE = +0.5%

Average of "Closed Positions" sub-categories, except for Daytrades: up/positive 2.09%

Combined Total Averages, excluding Daytrades: losing/negative 4.18%

Compare to S&P 500: losing/negative 5.15%
[from May 30, 2008 (1385.67) to June 24, 2008 (
1314.29)]

The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only and does not constitute investing recommendations. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of an investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence.

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Stocks Update

This is a condensed version of the Stocks Update. I sold PPS today at a loss of 2.8%. My actual loss was only 50 dollars. Goldman Sachs came out with a "neutral" rating on PPS two days ago. At the time, the stock was selling for around 35 dollars a share. Goldman's report established a price target of 32 dollars a share. The stock dropped to 34 dollars a share. Now, if Goldman thought the price should be 32 dollars/share, then why didn't it issue a "sell" rating? This strange rating system makes no sense. Some conspiracy theorists allege that Goldman Sachs' research arm knows that its brokerage arm has shorted certain stocks and will issue reports depressing a particular sector, allowing Goldman to cover its shorts. Maybe Tim Donaghy knows something about this. The SEC and DOJ might want to work together. I'm just sayin'.

In some semblance of sanity today, PFE went up on a down day for the market, which is what defensive pharma plays should do.

I added to my GE position, and also added 200 shares of Intel (INTC). Right now, my major positions are only in PFE and GE. See you in five years or more, while I collect my dividends. If I see some share price increase, that's just ice cream on the pie slice, as far as I'm concerned (I hate gravy, so I won't perpetuate that colloquilism).

Closed Position
PPS (-2.8%)

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Stocks Update

I don't usually like giving a Stocks Update right before the market closing, but I have some more closed positions I wanted to add (ICE and WYE). I couldn't handle ICE's volatility, and WYE went up 4% today. But as you can see, CNB has been a major disappointment today. I picked up another 250 shares, bringing my total to 750 shares. It's not a major investment, and most of the regional banks went down today (e.g., Regions Financial, etc.), but for the first time, I am starting to have doubts about CNB. It is quite possible it will need to raise more capital due to its mid-2007 acquisition of Citrus & Chemical Bancorporation, Inc. Where is Citrus Bank located, you might ask? (Cue ominous music...) Lakeland, Florida, one of the states affected most by the subprime mess. In any case, my only "major" position continues to be PFE.

Remember the days when banking and pharma companies were "widows and orphans" stocks? Grandma could buy some shares, not expecting any major upswing in price, but collect a consistent dividend check. The banks looked out for the savers back in the day, knowing how many shareholders were depending on their dividends. Now, this unusual economic environment has made savers into buffoons, and speculators into heroes. More important, how long will this unusual market continue? The theoretically risky stocks--like technology, where a company product can become worthless overnight due to failure to innovate--are safe havens, and the theoretically necessary stocks--like banking and medicine--are the most dangerous. There's only one explanation for this--the technology companies, like Intel, acted liked conservative banks, saved their profits and now have very healthy balance sheets. Meanwhile, the banks went loco and decided they were growth companies, Grandma's dividend check be damned. And so it goes.

Update: for what it's worth, here is CNB's response to an email I sent their Investor Relations:

We acquired Citrus and Chemical Bank in December of 2007. As part of the purchase accounting, at the date of acquisition, the assets and liabilities are marked to fair value. This mark would have happen in December of 2007 and therefore has been reflected in our capital ratios for two quarters now. Our board of directors meets in mid July at which time they will vote on the dividend. At this point, we have enough capital to maintain the dividend at its current level of $.095/quarter. We filed an 8k a couple of weeks ago which shows our excess capital and good liquidity position. This material can be accessed from our website at www.colonialbank.com.

Open Positions

CNB = -11.53
EQ = -3.19
EWM = -0.45 (excluded from totals due to insignificant gain or loss)
GE = -4.52
IF = -6.24
PFE = -7.74
PNK = +4.74
PPS = 0 (excluded from totals due to insignificant gain or loss)

Average: losing/negative average of 4.74%

Closed Positions
:
Held more than seven days but less than one year:
WYE = +2.4%

Held less than 7 days:
ICE (+2.0%), MMM (0.5%), MRK (0.1%), PFE (1.3%), SCUR (15%) (Overall record in this category is a 3.78% average gain)

Daytrades:
PFE = +0.5%

Average of all sub-categories, except for Daytrades: up/positive 3.09%

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Stocks Update: PFE Sold Today, 1.3% in One Day

I sold the 2000 shares of Pfizer today that I bought yesterday, netting a 1.3% gain. Thus far, my short-term trades have been 100% successful, while my other trades have a mixed record. Some of the ongoing debates in the stock market are as follows:

a) Does active trading reduce gains?
b) Can investors time the market?; and
c) Do long-term investors always do well if they buy-and-hold for several years?

Conventional wisdom would say "Yes" to (a) and (c), and "No" to (b). One of the reasons I disclose my trades is to see whether the conventional wisdom is actually correct. Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger believe that investors can time the market and view the "efficient market hypothesis" (i.e., all public information is immediately factored into a company's stock price, making it almost impossible to time the market) with disdain. Thus far, I am in the Berkshire camp. But we will see as the years go by.

Open Positions
CNB = -5.40
EQ = -5.54
EWM = -1.17
GE = -3.75
ICE = -2.11
IF = -6.53
PFE = -7.64
PNK = -2.97
PPS = 0
WYE = -3.52

Total: losing/negative average of 4.29%

Closed Positions
:
Daytrades: PFE (+0.5%)

Held less than 7 days: MMM (0.5%), MRK (0.1%), PFE (1.3%), SCUR (15%) (Overall record in this category is a 4.23% average gain)

Total: up/positive 3.48%

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Stocks Update: Beware the Ides of June?

Between June 3 and June 11, my portfolio took a hit. I had sold almost everything prior to June 3, but put a small toe back back in the water recently to buy Pfizer. As a result, I am now down almost 3,000 dollars since June 2, 2008. Given the overall size of my portfolio, I am not concerned (although my ego has taken a severe hit). Most of the open positions are in a retirement account, and I am perfectly happy waiting four or more years for Pfizer, my current largest holding, to get back on its feet.

Have we hit the bottom yet? Probably not in all sectors. Future earnings per share (EPS) for almost all companies need to be adjusted downward. But with respect to the shares below, I would not have bought them unless I believed they were near a bottom. I still believe that the shares below are near or at a bottom. One year from now, I will issue a new "Stocks Update," and I expect each and every stock below, except for EWM, ICE, and IF, to be in positive territory. ICE probably will be so volatile it won't make much money until it merges with another exchange or is bought out. EWM and IF, two international ETFs, were bought as long-term hedges.

Open Positions

CNB = -2.6
EQ = -4.44
EWM = -2.26
GE = -1.52
ICE = -1.31
IF = -7.2
PFE = -8.57
PNK = -1.36
PPS = -2.24
WYE = -2.43

Total: losing/negative average of 3.39%
(DJIA lost 3.35% from June 2 to June 11)

Other Open Positions
06/11/2008 Bought 2000 PFE @ 17.65

Closed Positions:
Daytrades: PFE (+0.5%)

Held less than 7 days: MMM (0.5%), MRK (0.1%), SCUR (15%) (Overall record in this category is a 5.2% average gain)

The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only and does not constitute investing recommendations. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of an investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence.

Stocks Update: Not Time Yet to put Pfizer on Ice--It's Still Not at its Pinnacle

Here is what I bought today:

06/11/2008 Bought 100 PNK @ 12.46
06/11/2008 Bought 17 ICE @ 118.67
06/11/2008 Bought 2000 PFE @ 17.65

Let's take these one at a time--

PNK is Pinnacle Entertainment Inc. Although their HQ is in Las Vegas, they don't own casinos there. The six casinos they own are in Louisiana, Indiana, Missouri and Reno, NV; in addition, they operate casinos in the Bahamas and Argentina. This is a fairly small company--its market cap is still under 1 billion. Why choose this stock over WYNN, LVS, or MGM?

I watched a PBS documentary on Vegas recently, and let me tell you, Steve Wynn and his vivacity are a hoot to watch. The documentary reminded me of how cool Vegas used to be, starting with the Mafia and the Rat Pack, moving to JFK/RFK and Howard Hughes coming in to clean it up, and then ending with shareholders and Wall Street finishing the job. What struck me most during the documentary is that Vegas seems like it's all out of gimmicks. The old Sands, where the Rat Pack used to play, is gone. Steve Wynn's Mirage is no longer the epitome of cool. By focusing so much on the future and demolishing anything older than a decade, Vegas has neglected to preserve its history, which would have been a tourist draw (who wouldn't want to walk on the same stage that Sammy Davis Jr. danced on?).

To be fair, when I went to the new Wynn hotel in Vegas, I was impressed. I wasn't impressed in the sense that this hotel was something wild, something fun--but it was a darn nice hotel and casino, and the no-smoking sports book didn't hurt (of course, it's impossible to find a seat). Would I fly out from California to Vegas just to see the Wynn hotel? That's the million dollar question, isn't it? I wouldn't--and if I did, there's nothing in that particular hotel that I couldn't get by staying at another hotel nearby and, say, walking over to view the Wynn's Ferrari display. The problem with sinking so much money into these hotels is that it's based on the hope that the high rollers will come to you and make up for the initial costs. But other than Charles Barkley, it's unclear why an international client would fly to the Wynn rather than another more exclusive resort, say, in Macau.

The next stage for Vegas hotels is to do what the Hard Rock Hotel has done--make each room unique so that customers are paying for the inside of their room, not the outside. I genuinely look forward to staying at any Hard Rock Hotel (HRH), because you don't know ahead of time which rock star your room will be based on. The problem with the HRH is that they don't have good locations (the one in Vegas is off the strip), and it's harder for them to expand in a saturated nationwide market. But Vegas as a whole doesn't seem too much different than it was ten years ago, and so far, other than making its hotels more lavish, there's no new major attraction. With a looming recession, people might go to Reno or a cheaper hotel instead. Even I will be going to Reno in a few weeks rather than Vegas because 5 dollar blackjack tables are easier to find in Reno, and I am tired of the Vegas crowds and not being able to find a good seat at the sports book.

What does any of this have to do with why I bought PNK? Simple. PNK is building casinos in areas where they are a unique, new attraction. It's like a Walmart coming to a tiny town--even if it's not fancy, even if it's just downright ordinary, the lack of competing attractions will still allow a steady stream of business.

Also, labor costs are cheaper in Indiana, Missouri, Louisiana, etc. A major cost of any Vegas casino is their unionized workforce and sheer number of employees needed to run all the attractions (or did you think the lions at the MGM fed themselves all day?). Especially in a slower economy like Indiana, casinos won't have as hard of a time finding cheaper labor and good employees. That's good news for the Midwestern and Southern-based casinos.

Today, the St. Louis Business Journal confirmed that PNK's Missouri branch was doing well: "Admissions at Lumiere Place grew almost 22 percent from 510,448 in April to 622,088 in May. Revenue in May was $15.3 million, a 17 percent increase from April's revenue of $13.1 million."

I didn't buy much of PNK--but I definitely like it better than MGM or LVS shares. (I don't include WYNN in the previous sentence because its shares seem to hold up better on down days.)

ICE is InterContinental Exchange, Inc. It's basically a trading forum for commodities. It has enjoyed a spectacular run-up to 194 dollars per share because of the rise in commodity prices, which forced many companies to use futures contracts and take more of an interest in managing their cost of materials. But it's now trading at 118 dollars, probably because of the fear that commodities themselves are in a bubble and the Dems will regulate traders/speculators out of existence. It's a tough call between buying this company or CME Group, Inc. (CME). As you can see, I did not buy much of this stock, either. It's just a small hedge, and I expect to lose money on it in the near term, because it is so volatile. This is a long term hold--if I could just erase it from my screen until five years from now, I'd probably save myself some gray hairs.

Finally, we are back to Pfizer (PFE). Why buy over 35,000 dollars worth of this stock? Two reasons: one, this company is still a blue-chip in a business with excellent margins. If I have to hold onto it for the next five years, I don't mind, especially not with a 7% dividend. Second, the Wall Street Journal is showing that it has the fourth highest money flow of all traded stocks on June 11, 2008. Either someone knows something we don't, or it's possible this stock has finally hit the bottom. I will look to flip soon, because I still have 700+ shares in a different account.

Friday, June 6, 2008

Stocks Update

For some reason, I have always tried to highlight the bad news rather than the good. I suppose it keeps me humble, but really, I do it to ensure a sufficient amount of fear. Mark Cuban, owner of the Mavs, was once asked why, after making billions, he kept going. His answer: "Fear." In that vein, I am going to provide a "stocks update" on a day when the Dow and Nasdaq went down over 3%:

Open Positions
CNB = 0
EQ = 0
EWM = (slightly negative; 150 shares)
GE = 0 (slightly negative; 179 shares)
IF = -2.1
PFE = -6.4
PPS = +0.1
WYE = -2.6

Total: losing/negative 2.75%

I am not worried. Except for IF, these are all good dividend plays (meaning, they have enough cash flow or cash to pay their dividend over the next year). Even if Pfizer (PFE) has to "repatriate" (bring some money to its U.S. operations from abroad, thereby taking a tax hit) some cash to pay its dividend, I am guessing it will still do whatever it takes to pay the dividend.

Here is what my friend, who is a tax lawyer, said about repatriation--and it sounds like good news, rather than the bad news the general media is making about the possibility of repatriation:

I took international tax in law school but I am fuzzy on the subject not having reviewed it in awhile. The only thing I remember about repatriation is that foreign earnings of controlled foreign corporations were not subject to tax until they were brought back into the U.S. When the funds were brought back to the U.S., or repatriated, a corporation could then file some sort of election to exclude up to 80 - 90 percent of the repatriated funds from income.

I would guess that PFE would try and take advantage of that generous tax break on repatriated earnings if they did not want to risk cutting their dividend to U.S. shareholders.

If the tax hit is only 10 to 20%, that isn't so terrible. My hunch is that Pfizer's board sees its stock as a "widows and orphans" stock and won't cut the dividend for another year a half at least.

(Today, I bought 100 GE @ 30 and change; also, on June 9, I bought 29 more shares of GE at around 30.)

Overall, I am down about 1400 dollars since I sold off almost all of my holdings earlier. Most of the 1400 dollar loss is because of my recent large buy of Pfizer. My prediction last month or so was correct; i.e., that the market would suffer a large hit. For the most part, I heeded my own advice; otherwise, the damage would have been more severe.

Closed Positions:
Daytrades: PFE (0.5%)

MMM (0.5%), MRK (0.1%), SCUR (15%) (held less than seven days; record in this category is a 5.2% average gain)

The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only and does not constitute investing recommendations. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of an investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence.

Thursday, June 5, 2008

Stocks Update

Today, I sold my 100 shares of MRK @ 38.57. Including the fact that a dividend will be paid, I am slightly ahead, but only by a few dollars. That lowers my averages in my closed positions.

In other news, Goldman Sachs cut Pfizer (PFE) to "neutral," with a price target of 22, causing PFE to go to 18.50 a share. I am not worried--if anything, this means the bad news is finally out of the way (and being cut by Goldman is definitely bad news). Now, value investors will enter as disenchanted stock holders exit. Plus, I only need PFE to go to 20-ish before making a decent short-term profit on the trades. I figure PFE will hit 20-ish in about a month or two, if not sooner.

I bought and sold a large position of PFE in about an hour today: bought 2000 PFE @ 18.49 and then sold at 18.57--made 200 bucks. Now, if I had held the shares for another 30 minutes, I would have made another 200 dollars in an hour and a half (400 dollars total). That's the issue with day-trading--if you blink at the wrong time, it costs you. As long as I am in the black, however, a few hundred here and there is inconsequential. Rule #1: don't be greedy. Or, as Cramer likes to say, "Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered." 'Tis true.

I bought some shares of PPS today at 34.37 as well. Pure value play and potential buyout target.

I bought 500 shares of CNB at $5.00/share, a little-known bank in Alabama (or, as they like to say down South, 'Bama). This one is a value and dividend play. Just two months ago or so, CNB sold 350 million dollars' worth of its stock for 8 dollars a share. I like the shares at 5 dollars, but don't ask me what I'll do if it hits $6.50.

I also bought 15 shares of YHOO so I could attend their shareholder meeting on August 1, 2008. For purposes of this blog, however, I will not report on trades consisting of positions with a cost basis (money spent to buy a company's shares) below 1,000 dollars.

Closed Positions:
Daytrades: PFE (0.5%)

MMM (0.5%), MRK (0.1%), SCUR (15%) (held less than seven days; record in this category is a 5.2% average gain)

The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only and does not constitute investing recommendations. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of an investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence.

Wednesday, June 4, 2008

Stocks Update

Today, I bought 600 shares of PFE at 18.92; 150 shares of EWM at 11.07; and 50 shares of EQ at 47.32; and 150 of WYE at 43.83. PFE has gone down too far, which makes no sense. A WSJ article actually said that the stock might go down to 10 to 12 dollars without the high dividend (the entire article was pablum, as far as I'm concerned). Sometime soon, there will be a day when most pharma goes up 3% on an analyst's upgrade of the sector. Personally, I just want to sell before November 2008, so I have plenty of time. I bought EWM for more international diversification. Also, being close to Singapore should help Malaysia's economy stay vibrant, even if only due to a spillover effect from foreign investments and deposits. Malaysia's "Second Home" program--basically allowing foreigners to buy a long term visitor visas in exchange for making a large deposit of funds in the country--is a very astute idea as well. And finally, I bought EQ solely for its dividend.

I might be able to sell all the pharma stocks by this Friday at a profit. MRK is already ex-dividend, and PFE just paid out its dividend.

Here is my record with respect to the stocks I bought after I started the first "Stocks Update" entry on May 23, 2008:

Open Positions
761 of PFE; losing 2.4% (bought at various times, but major purchase of 600 shares bought on June 4, 2007)

150 of EWM; losing 0.4% (bought on June 4, 2007)

100 of IF; losing 3% (bought on May 23, 2008; indicated long-term hold at time of purchase)

100 of MRK; losing 0.6% (bought on May 30, 2008)

250 of WYE; losing 0.7% (bought on May 30, 2008 and June 4, 2008)

50 of EQ; even (bought on June 4, 2008)

Record in open positions: negative/losing 1.42%

Closed Positions:
MMM and SCUR (held less than seven days; record in this category is a 7.75% average gain)

The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only and does not constitute investing recommendations. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of an investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence.

Friday, May 30, 2008

Stocks Update

Big pharma looks like one of the cheaper sectors in the market. Today, I bought

60 shares of PFE (Pfizer) at 19.33
50 shares of MRK (Merck) at 38.61
65 shares of WYE (Wyeth) at 44.41

In my tiny, self-made pharma fund, I like WYE the most. MRK will issue a dividend soon, which is one reason I wanted to own it. I bought 100 shares of PFE before (at around 20.70) and am averaging down. It will probably take years for the pharmas to get out of the doldrums. In the meantime, I am sure it will be a bumpy ride. If a Democratic president is elected, chances are that any universal health care plan will squeeze big pharma. In addition, Congress may decide to cut consumer prescription costs by supporting generics and reducing patent rights. But with money market yields at around 2%, I could do worse than put my money in these dividend-generating stocks. I am not necessarily a long-term investor--once MRK pays its dividend, for example, I will look to get out.

Update on June 2, 2008: Bought 50 MRK @ 38.12 (have 100 shares total now)

The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only and does not constitute investing recommendations. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of an investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence.

Thursday, May 29, 2008

Stocks Update

Last week, I bought MMM, IF, and SCUR on May 23, 2008.

I sold MMM this week, making around 0.5%.

SCUR was much better. I sold today, making a 15% gain in less than a week (May 23, 2007 to May 29, 2008).

IF is basically flat so far. No worries--that is a long term hold.

So here is my track record thus far in terms of round-trips:

MMM = 0.5% (less than seven calendar days)
SCUR = 15% (less than seven calendar days)
IF = (bought on May 23, 2008--not sold yet)

Keep in mind, most of these trades were in a Roth IRA, so I won't pay taxes on the transactions until I withdraw the money in my (hopefully) old age. My trades will not generally incorporate any tax analysis.

The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only and does not constitute investing recommendations. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of an investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence.

Friday, May 23, 2008

Stocks Update

Today, despite my concerns about the economy, I bought 50 shares of GE, 330 shares of MMM, 100 shares of IF, and some shares of SCUR.

GE: I don't believe I can completely time the market, so I will average down if GE drops to the mid-20's.

MMM: I missed the ex-dividend date for MMM, but this company still looks undervalued at these prices. I hope to sell MMM when it goes to anywhere from 78 to 84. Although I like this stock, I am just too concerned that an overall market correction will bring down good names along with bad ones.

IF: Indonesia is going to be a good investment in the long term. My plan is to hold this fund for many years.

SCUR: This is a value play that contains quite a bit of risk. Its balance sheet looks stronger than what its stock price indicates. It is also trading below its book value. I will revisit this stock in a year or two. If we are coming out of a recession, small caps will be the first stocks to lead the way.

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