Reason #3745 to Be a Libertarian

This video makes my blood boil. Bruce Babbitt is an idiot. First, he talks about retaliating against an employee for creating more transparency into his department; then, he refuses to answer any questions about how his department is using taxpayer funds. Didn't we fight a war to get away from people who acted like high and holy kings?

Update: Babbitt has not been Secretary of Interior since 2001. It's an old video.

Molly Ivins on Camille Paglia

I have to confess, I like reading Camille Paglia. When it comes to sheer entertainment value, she can't be beat. Molly Ivins on Camille Paglia is hilarious:

http://www.its.caltech.edu/~erich/misc/ivins_on_paglia

One fashionable line of response to Paglia is to claim that even though she may be fundamentally off-base, she has ``flashes of brilliance.'' If so, I missed them in her oceans of swill.

Ouch. If newspapers want more readers, they need more writers like Mike Royko and Molly Ivins. May they rest in peace.

My Call on Wells Fargo Stock Was Accurate

On February 25, 2009, Wells Fargo (WFC) stock was selling for $13.44/share. I wrote an article where I praised WFC as undervalued:

http://willworkforjustice.blogspot.com/2009/02/treasury-on-wells-fargo.html

http://seekingalpha.com/article/122533-wells-fargo-should-emerge-from-this-crisis-stronger

At the time, President Obama had said that the government would continue to do whatever it took to support banks. Recently, the government allowed banks to use more flexible accounting to value certain assets.

Today, Wells Fargo stock reported better-than-expected earnings. WFC closed at $19.61/share, a 46% increase.

Personally, I bought Wells Fargo on margin all the way down to the single digits and sold at around $14/share. If I had Warren Buffett's money, I would have held on, but I couldn't handle having so much stock on margin. As it stands, I ended up losing some money on the WFC trades because I started buying shares at around $20/share.

It remains to be seen whether my most recent prediction--that the S&P will go to around 950--will come true. At this time, I continue to believe the S&P will rise to somewhere around 920 to 950.

Government Deficits Do Matters

Fun stuff from the Peterson Institute:

http://www.owenandpayne.com/why_you_owe.php

Each American now owes 184,000 dollars because of America's deficits.

SJ Merc on San Jose's Budget Issues

John Woolfolk talks about San Jose's budget problems:

http://www.mercurynews.com/ci_12058054?IADID=Search-www.mercurynews.com-www.mercurynews.com ["Top SJ management agrees to pay freezes and cuts."]

I am curious to see how cities expect to get more revenue. It doesn't seem like anyone has the stomach for layoffs and other spending cuts. Thus, Californians should expect higher taxes in some form unless they accept the fact that government has expanded too much over the last ten years. Cutting back on government unfortunately means laying off some government employees and/or reducing pension and COLA contributions. When times are flush again, we can afford to be generous. 

Silicon Valley Income Statistics

According to the WSJ (2/17/09, B4, article by Pui-Wing Tam), 42% of households in Silicon Valley earned more than $100,000/year. "Meanwhile, the percentage of households earning less than $35,000 a year reached 20%, up from 19% in 2002."

I hate these kinds of statistics--the term, "households," is so vague. It could be one person earning $101,000/year, or two adults earning $51,000/year. Still, it looks like the recession may not affect Silicon Valley as harshly as other locations. I don't see housing prices dropping severely (not any more than they already have, I mean). Despite the recent condo construction, Santa Clara County doesn't have an oversupply of housing.

Also, the new developers don't seem to have thought things through. Most of the new condos are in downtown San Jose, which won't attract families. If they were trying to cater mainly to singles and young adults, they made a mistake. Most singles won't be able to pay a high price for housing because of two reasons: one, young singles have only one income; and two, they are not in their peak earning years and probably have student loan debt.

Racial Divide?

Here's an interesting political map about Obama's and McCain's voters, when divided by race:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/03/how-did-white-people-vote.html

I enjoyed reading the comments. One comment pointed out that the map lacks a control. Without comparing the Obama/McCain map with the Kerry/Bush election, one can't reasonable conclude anything significant. Chances are, the maps might be similar for both elections, meaning there was no racial pattern in the 2008 election.